Central U.S. preparing for mega earthquake 

June 2016 – SIKESTON, Missouri – It
 is well known that California and most of the west coast of the USA are
 thought to be long overdue magnitude 7 or stronger earthquakes. News 
there has been significant movement along the 800-mile San Andreas Fault
 in the Sunshine State and an emergency drill of how to deal with a 
devastating tsunami along the length of the west coast, have kept both 
impending natural disasters in the headlines across the globe.
But it has largely been forgotten that 
another potential disaster is lurking within the ground in Missouri. The
 150-mile long New Madrid Seismic Zone in New Madrid, Missouri, is the 
source of the concern, and is also thought to be overdue for a massive 
tremor, which would impact seven states – Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, 
Arkansas, Kentucky, Tennessee and Mississippi. It has not seen 
significant earthquakes for more than 200 years.
In the winter of 1811 and 1812 there 
were three earthquakes of magnitude 7 – as high as 7.7 – and a series of
 aftershocks across the American Midwest. The results were catastrophic,
 with the course of the Mississippi being diverted, chasms ripping open,
 and volcanoes of sand and water bursting through the ground. The 
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) warned in 1999 there were 
four natural disasters which threatened the states.
They included major hurricanes hitting 
Miami and New Orleans, which has recently been rocked by Katrina, and 
megaquakes hitting Los Angeles, and the central USA. The US Geological 
Survey (USGS) has a map of the country which includes a giant pink 
warning area over the central states. Each year there are hundreds of 
small tremors in the New Madrid Seismic Zone, including a 3.5 magnitude 
quake last month, which many saw as a precursor. The USGS even raised 
the threat level for 2016 after this increase in activity.  Although the
 risk to these areas is less trumpeted than California and the west 
coast, $260million was spent on seismic strengthening of the I-40 bridge
 over the Mississippi into Memphis.
It is hoped the crossing, which towers 
over the river, could now withstand the anticipated shocks. Memphis 
state officials also reduced the main hospital by nine floors to limit 
the risk of collapse at a cost of $64m. The Mid-America Earthquake 
Center at the University of Illinois released a report in 2009, which 
suggested the effects of a force seven or stronger quake from the fault 
line. Amr Elnashai, the study’s lead author, wrote “All hell will break 
loose.”
The predicted scenario saw close to 
715,000 buildings, including 130 hospitals, and 3,500 bridges damaged. 
Deaths and injuries were estimated at 86,000 with a combined loss of 
$300billion. The Central US Earthquake Consortium (CUSEC) is based next 
to Memphis Airport. James Wilkinson, its director, fears the Mississippi
 would be released from an engineered prison of levees, causing maximum 
damage. He told The Atlantic: “The thing that, to me, makes the
 river scary is how much industry we have along it: there’s power 
plants, there’s chemical plants, there’s ports. “And the river might 
change course altogether.
“I mean if we’re at flood stage, it’s 
kind of the worst-of-the-worst case scenario. “So if the levees are 
already jeopardised either by overtopping or saturation, where the 
water’s been there for quite a while, and then you get a shake to it? 
“You know, the river’s just gonna take the path of least resistance. And
 who knows whether that’s right through these communities.  
“I doubt it’s going to stay in the 
channel it’s in. The Army Corps of Engineers battles that on a daily 
basis but the river’s already trying to change course. “They keep it 
somewhat channeled, but in a massive earthquake we could lose a good 
part of Western Kentucky, we could lose a good part of Arkansas or 
southern Missouri.”
He is convinced it is only a matter of 
time. He said: “We’ve had earthquakes, we’ve had damage, but nothing 
like what we’ve seen in other parts of the world. So the clock’s 
ticking.” But not all seismologists agree. Seth Stein, based in 
Evanston, Illinois, has researched the fault line for 30 years, and told
 The Atlantic the warnings were “dangerous nonsense.” He set up GPS 
receivers along the fault line and found the land was moving two 
millimeters a year, if at all, meaning there is next to no strain within
 it. He said: “Basically the way to think about the lithosphere – and 
it’s easy when you live in Chicago – is, imagine you have big chunks of 
ice floating around on the lake, and those things are sliding by each 
other.
So those are the plate boundary 
earthquakes, like in California. “But then within those big ice sheets 
you have small cracks. And there are very small motions within them. 
That’s how the big pieces stay together.” He claims Stein any recorded 
new rumblings are still the aftershocks of the 1811-1812 events. He 
added: “Every time there’s a magnitude 4 people like CUSEC are claiming 
giant earthquake’s on the way.  And you think about this, and you look 
into the rock physics and it says no, it’s the opposite. Those are 
aftershocks.”  –Express
 
 
 
          
      
 
  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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